Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b9105c605516887a3bf0c4f111fff60c7df7eb85a462f28e3151b32c0b8bca

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,860 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdac1…baddbacked No	68c	1,105$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.7	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	78c	1,062$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.02	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	62c	593.44$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.55	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	25c	526.36$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.78	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	37c	513.51$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	225	51.6%116 W · 109 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	68c	511.56$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.93	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c6f…5b81backed Yes	31c	505.42$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.68	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02b…ab4fbacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	21c	361.9$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked No	70c	254$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	75c	248.58$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.64	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	70c	204.45$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8569…393dbacked Yes	32c	164.71$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.83	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6058…64dcbacked Yes	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…72e1backed Yes	31c	141.39$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.83	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…6644backed Yes	27c	137.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	68c	124.84$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.72	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	80c	104$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	67c	80.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.06	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Yes	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd26…d405backed Yes	21c	75.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Yes	32c	58.44$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd20…069cbacked Yes	47c	53.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a109backed Yes	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No	67c	49.97$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.49	151	77.5%117 W · 34 L	+13.1wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Yes	25c	48.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	65c	31.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33ea…8b78backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	59cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba2e…3a00backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	59c	31.06$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.68	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked No	70c	28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No	66c	26.06$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	57c	25.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.16	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No	69c	15.89$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.89	184	73.4%135 W · 49 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	71cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event