Fifa International · resolved market
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68acb61dd5ea3409a65696ed528499040d33871dae6d8decf6b11354fe69689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 70c | 8,096$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.76 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 71c | 5,110$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.47 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 32c | 4,772$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 67c | 3,686$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.23 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,940$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.25 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1b35backed Yes | 29c | 1,662$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.01 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…a8cdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,490$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 1,321$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.63 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 68c | 1,173$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,012$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 72c | 1,002$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.91 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…9d56backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 35c | 525$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b60…85e0backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 500$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 69c | 400$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 28c | 388.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 28c | 385.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…5c77backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 16c | 323.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…ab4fbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…24dfbacked Yes | 29c | 303.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 25c | 249.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 30c | 233.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 29c | 200.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 71c | 195.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…3854backed Yes | 30c | 194.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 163.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 163.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…07e5backed Yes | 30c | 160.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…72e1backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 13c | 153.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd20…069cbacked Yes | 34c | 129.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417a…6b7cbacked Yes | 32c | 106.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed Yes | 14c | 100.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e3…8a22backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…25edbacked No | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed No | 75c | 50.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 47.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 69c | 44.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 75c | 38.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 76c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mehdi Taremi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.