Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cd45a024c2a5a512e63c9cac023f55f1ad3fc8f1953259ef24269a66526b3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 1,952$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.85 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 52c | 1,088$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.58 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 612$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 66c | 503.7$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 73c | 214.95$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 206.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 47c | 169$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 51c | 164$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 158.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 50c | 127.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 44c | 120.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 119.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…472abacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 69c | 102.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 96.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 60c | 84.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 73.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 72.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 48c | 63.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 58.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 55.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 49c | 50.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 53c | 49.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Over | 49c | 44.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…177abacked Over | 52c | 37.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…332dbacked Over | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 28.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…8749backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.