Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5473055de7cd8a296a0e50328c3686d2d24895d8cda816db6690c1a3c4ef4e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Life Esportsof T1, Hanwha Life Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Hanwha Life Esports | 78c | 767.95$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hanwha Life Esports | 75c | 401.12$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked T1 | 22c | 386.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…a140backed T1 | 25c | 378.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked T1 | 21c | 338.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked T1 | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…0bcbbacked T1 | 24c | 97.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked T1 | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed T1 | 22c | 82.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked T1 | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…4c5abacked Hanwha Life Esports | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hanwha Life Esports | 78c | 48.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Hanwha Life Esports | 79c | 38.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Hanwha Life Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.