TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$819,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,033,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819,904 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c181,866$46,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,040.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over74c173,362$128,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,141.033458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c28,743$7,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,179.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over72c26,975$19,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,656.421,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under27c25,775$6,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,959.3833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under21c15,513$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.841,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under27c15,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.9320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over76c14,982$11,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.581,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over73c13,699$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.635841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under28c13,092$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.8750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c10,799$7,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c8,672$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.163,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under27c8,398$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.441,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c8,264$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.081,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under28c8,000$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over68c7,375$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.816943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under27c6,781$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.8917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under29c6,699$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over73c5,622$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.1378835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c4,921$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under19c3,699$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.1938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Under28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under30c3,545$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.497533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under29c3,516$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.5758029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under27c3,505$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.571,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under30c3,317$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.2552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9515128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Over73c2,974$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.926958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c2,925$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.912,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Under27c2,900$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.985628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over71c2,899$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.783256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Under4c2,657$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.288226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Under28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under25c2,401$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.932,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Over73c2,373$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.7135514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4a…49b4backed Over72c2,172$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.024436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under28c2,143$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.651,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under25c2,099$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over71c2,070$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9810518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c1,988$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.944,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over74c1,984$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under30c1,934$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.881,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Under14c1,900$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2667732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Under28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over73c1,644$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8412958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91af…9a27backed Over73c1,617$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.494548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…9ba5backed Over71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4353262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a16…b7e3backed Over73c1,379$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.641553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.865350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df8…6274backed Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over73c1,357$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.485856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Over74c1,353$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.637867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under27c1,294$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.316648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under27c1,250$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4918548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under29c1,238$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f1…3e18backed Over72c1,219$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.35580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under32c1,199$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under31c1,185$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3546230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under28c1,111$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0814348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b81…d603backed Over72c1,086$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Over73c1,069$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6312345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcc…680cbacked Over72c1,057$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f5…5da7backed Over71c1,056$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over73c1,053$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.423747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Under29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c66…677ebacked Over72c1,031$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under28c1,010$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b2…027fbacked Over72c1,003$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06d6…44bcbacked Under28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Over71c985.92$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.924242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over73c982.74$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.349462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Over74c945.95$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9514248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf180…a062backed Over73c895.95$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.915263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed Over73c847.88$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9313337.6%50 W · 83 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf8…92b8backed Over65c807.45$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2714461.1%88 W · 56 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under14c806.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under7c773.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7943230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under14c767.91$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0a…30d6backed Over73c731.45$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.492433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under8c711.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…1692backed Under6c698.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee6…9bb0backed Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.448043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb58b…a4e9backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.936451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f68…29b3backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa111…3f22backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.931540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb2…0bc2backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9312949.6%64 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over73c681.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2327236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under25c623.74$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.791,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over73c616.44$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4435244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Over75c609.15$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2921349.8%106 W · 107 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Under18c600$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10519324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c589.8$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under28c577.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.911,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.