TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under59c28,778$16,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,866.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c19,383$7,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,676.073,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over26c18,684$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,8164740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under74c15,397$11,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,389.851,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under74c10,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.8874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over23c4,268$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,268.4537223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c4,007$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.852,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under77c3,882$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.1470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under1c2,876$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7624246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over64c2,405$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.3136539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over51c2,300$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.2453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over26c2,095$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.445330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9821166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c1,789$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over36c1,668$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.782,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over35c1,477$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.2659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over26c1,365$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.3846223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Over36c1,280$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.21833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c1,217$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under74c1,214$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over26c1,192$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.3135244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c1,167$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over24c1,026$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.616123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over33c999.94$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c847$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.972,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over66c832.29$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.983568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Under38c799.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over62c799.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30034122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under34c784.19$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under76c781.93$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.71,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e96…f8f7backed Under1c776.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2318936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Under64c625.11$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over24c605.03$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under34c599.95$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.986538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over34c518.31$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.771,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under34c514.69$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbff…4140backed Under78c512.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under34c509.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over35c488.95$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.961,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under35c468.22$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over26c456$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over35c450$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3131…a35dbacked Under67c420.91$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.018551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under34c411.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over71c386.26$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.462,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c384.63$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6215440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6232922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over35c376.76$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.341,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under61c351.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over26c313.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22233120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under76c296.95$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.243,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over24c294.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0233438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over36c278.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe702…1c29backed Under37c273.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under74c268.96$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0312753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under74c267.31$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under76c253.39$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.611,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c243.61$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.862,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over26c237.03$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c209.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over37c206.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.581,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over26c202.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.881,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Over26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.319551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3128822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over25c191$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2517938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…93aebacked Over26c189.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.954719.1%9 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over29c169.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.636024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under80c168$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.593,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b3…dcafbacked Over67c165.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.412245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under76c164$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.642,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over26c161.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5420932.5%68 W · 141 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under75c159.05$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.222,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over33c147.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.671,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over65c143.01$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0517459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Under74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Under76c132$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3213941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over37c132$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.721,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…7386backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Over24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9513531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9510748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under74c120$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under74c120$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed Over33c105.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.872321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a6d…4448backed Under70c100.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.853436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under73c97.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.518651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under47c97.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.042,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under63c79.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0741444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Over26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9221321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb065…0288backed Over26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9211059.1%65 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7651045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.