Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726b8433ffd66ec2047dc90beca0a79386e429bc913ef32bccbbd5dec987ac98

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $237,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $244,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	1c	36,035$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.28	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over	15c	21,961$3,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,269.09	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over	21c	13,807$2,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,854	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	13c	4,830$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.93	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	9c	4,650$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.94	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	5c	3,998$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.83	216	40.7%88 W · 128 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over	4c	3,067$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.67	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over	6c	3,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Over	16c	2,669$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.09	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over	5c	2,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	12c	1,336$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.26	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under	80c	1,259$1,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.98	103	56.3%58 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over	4c	1,253$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Over	5c	999.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+136.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	4c	810.01$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over	4c	769.23$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	14c	656.84$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.78	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	3c	638.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x856e…a0f9backed Over	7c	623.5$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.02	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…ea5cbacked Under	80c	612.51$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.51	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ef…b3debacked Over	4c	524.24$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over	19c	473.68$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	22c	456.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	22c	456.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	23c	436.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	43%65 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	15c	335.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	335	44.5%149 W · 186 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over	7c	331.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over	6c	324$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf083…22b0backed Over	19c	299.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0e…ad8ebacked Over	8c	262.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2134…231cbacked Over	4c	250.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d0…534ebacked Over	20c	250.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fa…363ebacked Over	4c	250.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c7d…a55cbacked Over	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	120	20%24 W · 96 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Over	20c	243.6$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Over	22c	228.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb4c…612bbacked Under	79c	220$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.2	50	58%29 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Over	5c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over	17c	200$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	166	56.6%94 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	21c	176.67$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.3	304	63.5%193 W · 111 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	22c	174.41$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2814…b0ccbacked Over	19c	166.45$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	177	38.4%68 W · 109 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3019…5596backed Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	8c	125.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3c…7b03backed Over	15c	125.16$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac6…66b2backed Under	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d64…0b24backed Over	9c	121.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b02…e0babacked Over	18c	109.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Under	78c	101.88$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.21	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Under	80c	101$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	60	70%42 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed Over	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2e…4fe6backed Over	22c	55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Over	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	172	48.3%83 W · 89 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…79a8backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db6…5176backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	76	15.8%12 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under	80c	25.97$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.31	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f71…b80ebacked Under	79c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.15	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Under	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81dd…bd8fbacked Under	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5this page
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Saudi Arabia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event