TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$633,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$762,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under47c116,022$54,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,530.1525038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under47c63,870$29,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,948.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over72c50,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.955366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c47,680$16,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,372.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c40,844$21,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,517.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under46c33,850$15,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,573.2418738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780a…84f0backed Over53c31,490$16,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,800.461776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over54c29,630$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,629.6314248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c21,459$11,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,313.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under47c19,646$9,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,279.9425844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Over52c19,073$9,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,206.685843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under47c19,000$8,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,929.9820333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under50c16,144$8,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,072.0414349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over52c15,661$8,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,517.311,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Over52c13,633$7,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,543.9110851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over47c10,535$4,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,583.34456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c9,770$4,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,689.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.917331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over53c5,440$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.688251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c5,109$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4009650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40022752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.6922749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c4,147$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,675$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.781,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over53c3,351$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.6410142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c3,220$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over50c2,992$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under28c2,917$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.8528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Over53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1914946.3%69 W · 80 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over77c2,727$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9236539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under50c2,588$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.936640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under28c2,475$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69325942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under12c2,468$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over53c2,453$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.8324341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under48c2,399$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.5446546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c2,369$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Under51c2,352$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under32c2,300$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.3537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c2,207$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.63,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…e8a8backed Over54c2,157$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.415950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under48c2,052$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.079840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over52c2,047$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.1746223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over52c2,042$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.966454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over68c2,016$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.191,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c1,961$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.672,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c1,941$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over53c1,930$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.9628526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0815034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.089647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over68c1,865$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.681,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under25c1,837$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,793$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6422029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under51c1,710$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.8514433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over52c1,668$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.021,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over72c1,666$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over69c1,665$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.391,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over52c1,659$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.551,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Over53c1,612$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7595040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c1,596$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under26c1,507$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39825049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.97044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over53c1,478$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4635244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c04…bb65backed Under1c1,449$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over53c1,365$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.5510152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over50c1,354$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.9251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under54c1,250$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.511,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Under48c1,202$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5771957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over49c1,176$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c1,158$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5791,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under26c1,090$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c1,066$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c6…276abacked Under49c1,021$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.728934.8%31 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.527847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2738…ebf4backed Over75c1,007$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.771855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Over76c999.98$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9912846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5419342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under28c944.43$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.418936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.