TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$376,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under37c151,735$55,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,973.3677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c120,066$75,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,3354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over64c16,408$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,907.6127433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over62c11,790$7,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,471.12,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c9,401$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.382,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under1c6,839$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.298,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Over64c6,250$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2506154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over63c5,570$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.121,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over63c5,558$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.871,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over67c5,034$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.5435446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under37c4,928$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.7195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Over66c4,206$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.111127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under35c3,830$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.511,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under36c3,648$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.854327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over62c2,892$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.7630465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c2,820$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.682,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under37c2,722$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under35c2,711$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.681,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under36c2,708$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.7421046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under37c2,567$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.9458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under37c2,513$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.681,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c2,052$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.343,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under35c1,924$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.0946550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb013…6c47backed Over58c1,572$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.032470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over64c1,567$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.4625842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Over64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under37c1,542$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.8612344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1525228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54016633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under35c1,338$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002536%9 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under42c1,074$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.831,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over64c999.96$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c997.25$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3953,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under40c977.25$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c967.18$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.324,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Under37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under18c809.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2812432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Over63c792.35$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.173842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2521443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2516136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2322846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Under36c750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over59c716.09$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5219935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25213046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over62c661.36$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.113,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under37c606.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5929449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over64c605.85$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.115653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under37c599.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.641,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c574.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.284,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under37c535.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Under36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under43c499.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under37c470$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.982348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under37c470$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.913543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Over64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.754022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-34.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.545334%18 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81c…cb63backed Under36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over64c415.31$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.551,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over63c414$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed Under37c389.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.533537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under35c387.96$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7951315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over72c352.68$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.611,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.58655.8%48 W · 38 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54650%23 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5838…0179backed Over63c312.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.582462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6916441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…c867backed Over64c306.34$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over80c304.43$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.891,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10812451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5112854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecd3…8289backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Under36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…c5d8backed Under38c263.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Over65c261.08$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0824749.8%123 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under25c260.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.422,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over62c256.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9911034.5%38 W · 72 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc0…8e67backed Over64c231.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over63c211.24$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.012,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…f015backed Over63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.352263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e9…c135backed Over64c203.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1313752.6%72 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Over63c193$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.417441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Under36c191.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over63c189.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2624246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd617…0797backed Under44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Over65c170$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.59265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under36c164.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.882,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Over62c161.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6915345.8%70 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b7…1c12backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739844.9%44 W · 54 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.