TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,555 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over6c68,568$3,932 inLost-$3,932.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c6,905$347 inLost-$347.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Over9c2,051$193 inLost-$192.599420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over8c1,415$113 inLost-$113.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over9c1,313$118 inLost-$118.171,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over8c1,250$100 inLost-$1003935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over2c1,141$25 inLost-$25.332,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over7c1,071$75 inLost-$7546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over8c625$50 inLost-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ce…8778backed Over8c588.13$47 inLost-$47.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over9c555.56$50 inLost-$5010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over10c525$53 inLost-$52.577051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d7…761dbacked Over3c499.98$15 inLost-$153828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over5c387.87$21 inLost-$21.1546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479f…beb7backed Over8c375$30 inLost-$302740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed Over8c250$20 inLost-$204327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over9c231.89$21 inLost-$20.8714526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Over5c220$11 inLost-$113067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over11c214.82$24 inLost-$23.6379149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over11c198.64$22 inLost-$21.8548055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6306…f58abacked Over9c175$15 inLost-$157729.9%23 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over9c166.67$15 inLost-$155117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over11c161.09$18 inLost-$17.7230547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Over8c125$10 inLost-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…2e5ebacked Over8c125$10 inLost-$103324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over8c125$10 inLost-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$1013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97ff…f76abacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$10240%0 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.