TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,011 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x488e…ab99backed Over0c20,000$20 inLost-$207417.6%13 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over11c4,026$456 inLost-$455.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over19c634.21$120 inLost-$120.216428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0af…0d7abacked Over18c513.89$92 inLost-$92.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over19c414.26$79 inLost-$78.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over21c333.33$70 inLost-$7054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over11c299.99$33 inLost-$3327028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over19c290.93$56 inLost-$56.265621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Over15c200$30 inLost-$3020825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d6…19f7backed Over20c102.5$21 inLost-$20.540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Over18c83.33$15 inLost-$155121.6%11 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over20c50$10 inLost-$1036558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.