Fifa International · resolved market
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd4453c59d5db6ffa5df5edeab317ddf431a473fa583b1a1ccfcbf26f3d4a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 65c | 1,531$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.01 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 65c | 1,226$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.63 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 65c | 599.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 513.06$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 35c | 414$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 31c | 337.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e2a4backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 36c | 278.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 35c | 174.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 35c | 147$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 122.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 72c | 118.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…6604backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 35c | 97.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3a…a25cbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 29c | 85.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…cde9backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 74.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 31c | 72.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…c22fbacked Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Yes | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…05efbacked Yes | 34c | 59.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e86fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 65c | 56.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…9f99backed Yes | 39c | 51.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 34c | 48.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 65c | 44.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…177abacked Yes | 35c | 42.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3912…c081backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…24e5backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 61c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 35.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a4d1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…a018backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 230 | 62.6%144 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 66c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…e4efbacked No | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ben Waine: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ben Waine: 4+ shotsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ assistsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 2+ shotsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 1+ assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ shotsYes won
- Emam Ashour: 3+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 2+ goalsNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 3+ shots on targetNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Hamza Abdelkarim: 3+ goalsNo won
- Hamza Abdelkarim: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Hamza Abdelkarim: 5+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 4+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 5+ shotsNo won
- Michael Woud: 4+ savesNo won
- Michael Woud: 5+ savesNo won
- Mohamed El Shenawy: 3+ savesNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trezeguet: 3+ goalsNo won
- Trezeguet: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trezeguet: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Zizo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Zizo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Zizo: 4+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.