TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa875…9f99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$93.57
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$27.57
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$39.61
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$127.02
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Federico Valverde: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.05
Juventus FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.54
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.78
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-60.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$202.77
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.52
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+111.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.