Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdca4c4a6be144cb159839a706ed76f786803bc9b457b5153347b3b9a83095c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,792 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	67c	30,184$20,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,067.78	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	32c	27,511$8,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,743.03	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	66c	1,891$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.94	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	54c	1,452$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.32	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	46c	727.38$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.23	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	31c	703.31$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.1	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes	54c	700$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No	46c	528.74$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.24	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes	33c	389$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.37	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No	56c	342.91$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.34	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes	53c	264.15$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…2fbfbacked Yes	54c	261.98$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No	47c	248.66$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.79	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes	55c	241.91$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No	52c	208.11$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.43	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b5…a549backed Yes	45c	194.09$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes	53c	130.19$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes	54c	129.43$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.89	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	28c	120.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.68	408	21.8%89 W · 319 L	-53.7wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes	53c	114.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.94	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	54c	105.13$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes	20c	99.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	11c	99.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes	53c	95.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	46c	87.88$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb6…80aebacked Yes	54c	85.63$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.42per pick	58cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes	13c	77.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes	54c	74.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed No	48c	74.37$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.67	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	46c	66.73$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.22	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa875…9f99backed Yes	54c	57.41$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.34per pick	56cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa989…3fefbacked Yes	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes	41c	55.36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d87…71cebacked Yes	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes	37c	53.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes	54c	52.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Yes	31c	51.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked No	64c	50.06$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.04	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes	32c	49.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes	54c	49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No	76c	44.09$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked No	69c	42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.12	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	44.2%73 W · 92 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes	54c	33.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	296	44.6%132 W · 164 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No	48c	31.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac9…3dcdbacked No	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Yes	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa506…f93bbacked Yes	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No	50c	25.78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x458a…972ebacked No	49c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	65c	15.76$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event