Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63826f267c8c59d91796127d040960a096d84d24c2a7af53155e6f7c46f1d9a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 5,584$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 76c | 4,632$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.34 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 3,831$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 23c | 1,405$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.83 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 76c | 1,322$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.19 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…d7afbacked Over | 26c | 1,108$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 74c | 864.34$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 750$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 80c | 594.94$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 24c | 593.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 25c | 516$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 77c | 337.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 23c | 331.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 319.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 75c | 292$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 24c | 126.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Under | 78c | 123.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 75c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 26c | 77.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 24c | 71.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 25c | 65.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Under | 76c | 40.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.