TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,952 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,999.992040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under54c47,685$25,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,934.923661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c18,934$10,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,173.756,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c16,234$7,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,529.6251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9913444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c9,405$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,326.161,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c3,630$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.194,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c2,300$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0351,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c2,109$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.2652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under78c1,868$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.191,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over26c1,749$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.669532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c1,576$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.9350644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under55c1,363$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.3512949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under59c847.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.489053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under55c834$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under55c699.96$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under53c655.58$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under54c576.73$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c552$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.928144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c524.77$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.241,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over46c489.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3911449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9612549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under55c410$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under54c405.59$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.579350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over22c333.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4710244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under55c320.61$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.275444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1327565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over49c278$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.224477.3%34 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over45c266$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11732164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over47c232.29$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.181,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa355…0409backed Over45c224.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under54c222$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1217337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over46c217.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under51c207.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8613054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under55c206$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+99.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over46c200.79$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485742.1%24 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under55c199.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.989953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c187.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9432345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8587…76e0backed Over47c179$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc0…5736backed Over47c173$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over45c172.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8437342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c164.87$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.962,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ff…74c0backed Over47c164$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…b7debacked Under55c163.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7b…617fbacked Over47c156$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa3…d257backed Over47c152$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over46c149.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c149.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9935157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f59…e76bbacked Over47c147$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under76c138.81$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3174056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c137.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4386backed Over47c137$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…5380backed Over47c133$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under52c132.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.523250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d57…b951backed Over46c129$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over9c125.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Under54c124.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.638358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over44c113.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over18c111.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0435134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over47c102.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4512250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under54c97.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.336554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over48c97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.563342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under53c93.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.644070%28 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over45c88.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5322335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb39…65edbacked Under53c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over19c82.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over48c80.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6337557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.414262.7%89 W · 53 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.414265.5%93 W · 49 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a00…c461backed Under53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb44…3e02backed Over46c79.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under52c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4817138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7315534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cb6…6164backed Over21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under54c70.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9315353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.