Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ac9026b879b14730d24c651d9891c7d9c74e8a6020027acf19cc7970d555ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,214,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,230,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,214,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 76c | 995,588$760,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234,657.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 24c | 338,867$80,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,895.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 23c | 141,116$32,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,456.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 23c | 96,707$22,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,508.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 24c | 61,201$14,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,688.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 24c | 59,006$14,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,161.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 24c | 53,520$12,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Yes | 77c | 46,039$35,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,589.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 23c | 43,335$9,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,967 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 23c | 43,157$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,926.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 24c | 36,967$8,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,917.77 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 23c | 24,867$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 23c | 24,033$5,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,608.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 23c | 22,169$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.87 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 18,367$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 14,323$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.13 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 23c | 12,969$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 23c | 12,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 23c | 11,790$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 23c | 11,006$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 27c | 9,520$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.39 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 24c | 8,295$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.83 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 75c | 6,533$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.85 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 25c | 5,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 14c | 4,032$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.79 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 3,847$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.75 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 6c | 3,637$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed No | 25c | 3,613$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 6c | 3,060$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 25c | 2,737$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.3 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 24c | 2,672$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.16 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 31c | 2,389$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.29 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 24c | 2,247$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 1c | 2,123$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 24c | 2,033$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.91 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 70c | 1,898$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed No | 27c | 1,853$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 27c | 1,836$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 74c | 1,797$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.3 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 3c | 1,792$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 1,656$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.64 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 24c | 1,560$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 26c | 1,353$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.24 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Yes | 72c | 1,325$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 77c | 1,234$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 23c | 1,179$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 25c | 1,086$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 25c | 1,041$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 25c | 1,040$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 1,040$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 74c | 1,034$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 26c | 1,018$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 75c | 937.2$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…498bbacked No | 27c | 918$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…9b48backed Yes | 79c | 859.45$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 25c | 854.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 849.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 23c | 843$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 30c | 822.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 21c | 712.03$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 71c | 694.99$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…9f99backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 75c | 640$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 26c | 494.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Yes | 69c | 480.1$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed No | 24c | 452.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 78c | 426.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 72c | 418.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce35…503dbacked No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 24c | 414.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 26c | 402$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 75c | 399$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 6c | 390.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 66c | 382.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…029cbacked Yes | 73c | 368.93$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…2b14backed No | 26c | 352$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 25c | 312.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c82…7312backed Yes | 66c | 308.14$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…6ea6backed Yes | 75c | 305.13$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.