Fifa International · resolved market
Mohamed Salah: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0b8e14debc401c124c6c9fa1dfce981fceddba374d904d6d1881a00e34cbc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 11c | 1,149$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 13c | 798.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 24.8%50 W · 152 L | -15.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…6644backed Yes | 13c | 302.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…1bfebacked Yes | 14c | 243.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…533dbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 13c | 184.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 13c | 172.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…86a9backed Yes | 32c | 94.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 15c | 85.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec6…2ad1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 45.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsthis page
- Ben Waine: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ben Waine: 4+ shotsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ assistsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 2+ shotsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 1+ assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ shotsYes won
- Emam Ashour: 3+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 2+ goalsNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 3+ shots on targetNo won
- Haissem Hassan: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Hamza Abdelkarim: 3+ goalsNo won
- Hamza Abdelkarim: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Hamza Abdelkarim: 5+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 4+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Adel: 5+ shotsNo won
- Michael Woud: 4+ savesNo won
- Michael Woud: 5+ savesNo won
- Mohamed El Shenawy: 3+ savesNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mostafa Zico: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trezeguet: 3+ goalsNo won
- Trezeguet: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trezeguet: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Zizo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Zizo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Zizo: 4+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.