TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9896…ab27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$102.27
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$73.41
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$202.98
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76.61
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$70.31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$240
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$62.83
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$53.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.