MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f08071a56115b63baf6fb651a203033652ac03785d36b3c7d143dffcb3695f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $769,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $769,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 144,129$87,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,406.11 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 91,317$38,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,101.94 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 80,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 71,957$43,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,174.48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 71,700$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 35,506$23,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,907.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 32,849$17,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,189.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 30,495$11,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,602 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 18,736$12,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,641.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 15,336$9,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,006.89 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 15,000$7,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,714.85 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 12,823$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.07 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 12,459$6,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.84 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 12,057$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 11,993$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 11,897$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,063.67 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 9,724$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 8,483$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.85 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 8,086$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 7,855$5,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 7,777$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.2 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 6,040$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.69 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 5,872$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 5,548$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.74 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 4,986$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 4,961$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 4,851$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 4,469$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.96 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 4,381$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 4,043$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.93 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 4,000$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.49 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 3,667$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.96 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 3,649$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.26 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 3,340$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,316$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 3,141$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 2,800$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 2,778$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 2,767$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,745$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 2,376$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.07 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 2,204$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 2,079$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,071$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.01 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 1,971$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.19 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,957$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.73 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 1,753$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.07 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 1,715$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,650$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.7 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 1,590$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,549$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,516$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.6 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,514$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.54 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,504$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.43 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 1,349$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.79 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,297$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 1,260$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 1,252$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,224$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.16 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 1,208$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 1,138$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 1,130$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Milwaukee Brewers | 4c | 1,035$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 989.57$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 985.53$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.2 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 978.19$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.7 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 935$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.35 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 871.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 851.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 808.06$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 799$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 777$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 746.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.92 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 735.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 728.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…2248backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 700.33$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…cdd5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 699$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 697.48$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 668.33$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.14 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 661.3$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 653.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 644.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 642.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 620$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.