CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b08565f920edf4756f8eaf29ec77d4cf6c541ee192f99289dac4e071ddd5b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 57c | 1,771$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.98 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 43c | 1,209$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 44c | 1,209$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 1,132$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.61 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.04 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 45c | 1,017$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.22 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 70c | 948.71$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.49 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 929.82$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.4 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 766$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.32 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Over | 69c | 765.98$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.45 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Over | 44c | 556.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 538.29$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Under | 57c | 501$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 238.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Over | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…ab27backed Under | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 56c | 195.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 59c | 193.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 31c | 158.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 33c | 145.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 41c | 144.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 32c | 125.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 45c | 109.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 44c | 104.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 48c | 104.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Under | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 76c | 84.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 43c | 72.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 33c | 64.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 56c | 52.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Over | 41c | 44.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 43.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 55c | 42.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 42.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed Under | 54c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f50…0d25backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Under | 55c | 30.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 68c | 29.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…6f57backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…5bebbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 49c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 21.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 63c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.