Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43b6287d60caf4f330cc2f6884fd5a304c2110b9b847564ebbcaf22e7f66e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Naomi Osaka, Magdalena Frech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Magdalena Frech | 24c | 25,681$6,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,062.59 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magdalena Frech | 13c | 14,802$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.91 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Magdalena Frech | 20c | 14,787$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Magdalena Frech | 14c | 12,412$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.38 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Naomi Osaka | 73c | 10,846$7,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.03 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Naomi Osaka | 74c | 4,038$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.48 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Naomi Osaka | 73c | 3,564$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.59 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 3,269$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.21 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…037ebacked Naomi Osaka | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 2,661$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.86 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 2,464$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.34 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Magdalena Frech | 17c | 2,463$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.79 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Magdalena Frech | 24c | 2,451$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.43 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Magdalena Frech | 25c | 2,419$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.83 | 365 | 38.4%140 W · 225 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magdalena Frech | 15c | 2,229$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.72 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Magdalena Frech | 28c | 2,159$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.02 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Magdalena Frech | 27c | 1,836$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Magdalena Frech | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Naomi Osaka | 75c | 1,763$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.76 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Magdalena Frech | 26c | 1,653$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.38 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.19 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 1,515$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.35 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Magdalena Frech | 24c | 1,479$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed Magdalena Frech | 24c | 1,463$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Magdalena Frech | 23c | 1,222$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 1,182$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Naomi Osaka | 75c | 1,180$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.48 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Magdalena Frech | 24c | 1,152$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.81 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Magdalena Frech | 26c | 1,127$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0bdbbacked Naomi Osaka | 73c | 1,094$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 1,039$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Magdalena Frech | 26c | 999.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Magdalena Frech | 25c | 999.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Naomi Osaka | 75c | 994.36$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 917.47$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Naomi Osaka | 74c | 820.84$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Magdalena Frech | 29c | 803.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Naomi Osaka | 69c | 800.7$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…ec7fbacked Magdalena Frech | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 721.52$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…e051backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Naomi Osaka | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 673.48$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 660$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 644.37$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…95a7backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 616.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Magdalena Frech | 11c | 595.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Magdalena Frech | 18c | 560.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Magdalena Frech | 26c | 559.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Magdalena Frech | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 513 | 44.4%228 W · 285 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Naomi Osaka | 72c | 499.88$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 332 | 46.4%154 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Magdalena Frech | 8c | 495.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Magdalena Frech | 20c | 484.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…152fbacked Magdalena Frech | 30c | 483.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Naomi Osaka | 72c | 472.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Naomi Osaka | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Magdalena Frech | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 183 | 25.1%46 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Naomi Osaka | 73c | 372.6$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…f8ccbacked Magdalena Frech | 31c | 365$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Magdalena Frech | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Magdalena Frech | 28c | 355.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Naomi Osaka | 71c | 351.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…d573backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 349.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Magdalena Frech | 28c | 344.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 332.65$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 331.82$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…1549backed Naomi Osaka | 69c | 331.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 330.35$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Naomi Osaka | 68c | 318.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 317$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 302.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…fe22backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Naomi Osaka | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Naomi Osaka | 74c | 297.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Naomi Osaka | 73c | 285$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Magdalena Frech | 29c | 276.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Naomi Osaka | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 257.01$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Naomi Osaka | 75c | 250.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Naomi Osaka | 69c | 250.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Magdalena Frech | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Magdalena Frech | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 789 | 53%418 W · 371 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Magdalena Frech | 25c | 239$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 852 | 49.6%423 W · 429 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Magdalena Frech | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 217.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Naomi Osaka | 74c | 212.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Magdalena Frech | 29c | 205$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,178 | 52.4%617 W · 561 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Magdalena Frech | 28c | 204.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Naomi Osaka | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 186.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 844 | 68.5%578 W · 266 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Magdalena Frech | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Magdalena Frech | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 26.3%44 W · 123 L | -18.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frechthis page
- Osaka vs. Frech: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Osaka vs. Frech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Osaka vs FrechOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Frech (+1.5)Osaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.