Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f8f8f720b7209f348bd0a61e08b74906290ec9dbf87d15fc79e4848da35a512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,470 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 4,868$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.31 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 18c | 1,400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 30c | 1,101$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Yes | 66c | 955.98$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 910.77$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.93 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked No | 33c | 799.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 35c | 735.12$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.38 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 509$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 29c | 403.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 66c | 302.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 265.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 68c | 257.23$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 257.1$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 32c | 234.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked No | 40c | 224.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 32c | 216.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 66c | 203.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 64c | 200.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 178.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Yes | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 147.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…c3bbbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 30c | 133.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 128.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 22c | 105.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 74c | 98.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 34c | 74.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Yes | 56c | 73.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 38c | 70.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 31c | 69.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed No | 43c | 64.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 19c | 61.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 69c | 59.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 19c | 52.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 52.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked No | 28c | 45.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 71c | 42.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 31c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 66c | 37.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 34c | 36.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +83%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…595cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…faeebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…460bbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 65c | 24.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 74c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 79c | 19.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 75c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 76c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Yes | 62c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Yes | 68c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.