South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e093aa38056cf4335db739833f459c409c4362072adacdd4ff76a7c7c7b7e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed No | 1c | 6,265$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 3,096$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,722$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 1,574$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 1,506$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.61 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 1c | 1,273$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.56 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 52c | 619.67$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.79 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 33c | 576.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.09 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 264.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 201.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 167.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 153.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed No | 66c | 149.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 34c | 144.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed No | 9c | 111.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 79.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 73c | 76.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 67c | 73.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 62c | 72.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 38c | 66.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 31c | 65.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 64.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 34c | 62.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes | 72c | 47.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 31c | 41.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 37c | 38.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 33.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 32.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked No | 66c | 28.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…7437backed Yes | 68c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Unión end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.