TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No52c61,166$31,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,863.764940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c24,224$12,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,479.251,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c16,439$10,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,114.8652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes50c16,031$7,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,065.3737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes38c10,934$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,779.2621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes63c5,359$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.121,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes39c2,994$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.6412839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No40c2,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No34c2,500$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8454131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes60c2,372$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.6218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No61c2,231$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3613450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No61c2,100$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2812157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc491…8012backed No1c2,038$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes61c2,015$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.252360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes39c1,795$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf05…9bacbacked Yes62c1,767$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c1,450$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.5938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No28c1,306$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.215129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes63c870.7$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.0662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes68c790.36$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6615048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa948…b032backed No62c790$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9202…d4d2backed Yes39c780$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8a…4e15backed Yes39c770$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes40c763$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.944841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf75e…c325backed No62c760$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes38c697.53$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c517$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes38c420$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.414045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6c…41b5backed Yes62c382.26$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c338.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c336.3$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…8c87backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1832867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c296.01$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c294$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes40c276$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.69747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes40c255$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0713844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes38c180$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.65236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes65c158.93$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Yes61c158.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes39c151.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6526550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812d…8f72backed No62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfca…bcdabacked Yes39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes50c122.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.855322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes62c112.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.732240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No62c109.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.861450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes49c109.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1217251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes38c99.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c97.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes39c95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1920454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed No56c86.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1dc…4f72backed No65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No62c72.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.17353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes37c66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb301…79ddbacked Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes39c61.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6710855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes39c59.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.629661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes39c56.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.553033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes39c55.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9918245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes38c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.663644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf038…e718backed Yes38c52.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+70.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes39c51.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.689256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…6002backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes39c47.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2810960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes39c47.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.259767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes49c47.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bb…3b44backed No39c43.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a1…f7afbacked Yes39c41.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed No62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.24257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed No38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Yes39c38.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.769467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1e…34cbbacked No40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed No61c34.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes55c33.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9822854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac3…0058backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No61c31.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.033756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No61c29.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.092080%16 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes59c29.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked No61c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.691060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.