Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf15c4f0f32ea079f558118f89b592cca8f83e86ff064c38c08816f600a2524e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 72c | 27,165$19,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,606.18 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 18,466$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.49 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 11,351$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.35 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 28c | 10,709$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.52 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 72c | 5,560$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…6964backed Yes | 29c | 3,297$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 2,601$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +7.1wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 1,921$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.88 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 1,443$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 70c | 1,420$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 29c | 1,334$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,331$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 20c | 1,027$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 988.74$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 802.84$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 28c | 753.57$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 425$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 336.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 305$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Yes | 27c | 294.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 29c | 286.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed No | 73c | 278.41$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Yes | 27c | 245$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 234.77$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 231.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 29c | 220.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 27c | 179.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 6c | 178.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 76c | 158.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 157$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…93ecbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 135$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 29c | 118.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 117.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 20c | 105.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes | 28c | 99.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 28c | 94.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 29c | 92.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…0f82backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 29c | 67.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 30c | 62.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 72c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 53.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 47.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 72c | 40.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 28c | 38.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 30.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed No | 73c | 28.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 72c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 72c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 14.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 73c | 13.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.