Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ff719521583f90bb25e8bdb0de0b1a168aee5c469899fc09163522d2282c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 24c | 3,021$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,290$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 1,931$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.2 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,527$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 12c | 960.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 933.33$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 738.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 722.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 34c | 545$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 500$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 26c | 414.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 66c | 346.74$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 14c | 292.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yes | 10c | 260$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 66c | 238.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 222.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 216.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 9c | 215.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 206$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 67c | 163.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 7c | 154.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…9e2bbacked Yes | 15c | 152.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 75.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes | 35c | 64.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Yes | 32c | 63.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 31c | 60.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 31c | 59.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 54.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 71c | 53.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 55c | 44.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 30.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 79c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.