Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162e5aa4c8cf008b057dec59e14c371462b63f9b0b751b60503536710caf1074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 24c | 5,375$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 22c | 3,201$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.62 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 24c | 2,560$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.4 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 2,050$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 1,540$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.02 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 77c | 1,401$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 24c | 875.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 77c | 833.33$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 22c | 599.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 8c | 598.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 22c | 417.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 75c | 330$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a631backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 23c | 253.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 75c | 249.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 24c | 209.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 22c | 199.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 76c | 196.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes | 76c | 196.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed No | 25c | 178$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 76c | 175.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 24c | 157.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 25c | 157.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 9c | 149.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Yes | 76c | 144.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 24c | 143.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 139.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 78c | 133.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Yes | 76c | 98.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed No | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed No | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…b264backed Yes | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 23c | 62.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 77c | 61.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 78c | 58.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Yes | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 77c | 39.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Yes | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…c9f2backed Yes | 76c | 31.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 75c | 25.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…700bbacked Yes | 76c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 77c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will AZ vs. Noah FA end in a draw?No won
- Will Noah FA win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.