Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4772f2a187bf32057e84092c59e07af3dfe5ce9eafe0c6768d4d5f7f2a8a7a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 67c | 9,448$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.77 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 6,018$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 1,094$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 32c | 984.26$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes | 67c | 950$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 66c | 896.81$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 66c | 754.64$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.86 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 68c | 735.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 36c | 628.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 34c | 548.42$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 67c | 503.96$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 34c | 410$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 68c | 294.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 33c | 290$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 289.23$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 270.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 270$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 28c | 238.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 35c | 208.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 34c | 196.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 34c | 141$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 34c | 139.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…3081backed Yes | 67c | 138.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 70c | 131.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 80c | 129.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 122.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 105.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 104.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 67c | 95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 66c | 75.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 68c | 60.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 68c | 54.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 66c | 51.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed No | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 75c | 48.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 28c | 43.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 39.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 75c | 35.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Yes | 67c | 24.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +151%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.