Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb31ec9494f289fbf7fc8ef03213926d3c288985a98d206b69d02594abe5744ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof Leeds United FC, Derby County FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Derby County FC | 79c | 9,007$7,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,134.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Derby County FC | 76c | 6,096$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Leeds United FC | 33c | 3,510$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.38 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Leeds United FC | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Leeds United FC | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Derby County FC | 69c | 1,391$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.79 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Leeds United FC | 10c | 1,248$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.62 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Leeds United FC | 31c | 480$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 440$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Leeds United FC | 14c | 400$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.94 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Leeds United FC | 20c | 225$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Leeds United FC | 17c | 203.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Leeds United FC | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 165$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Leeds United FC | 14c | 165$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Leeds United FC | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Derby County FC | 71c | 148.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Leeds United FC | 14c | 125$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Leeds United FC | 33c | 120.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Leeds United FC | 35c | 114.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 105.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Leeds United FC | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Derby County FC | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Derby County FC | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Leeds United FC | 14c | 90$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Leeds United FC | 12c | 85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Leeds United FC | 14c | 85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Leeds United FC | 14c | 85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Leeds United FC | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Derby County FC | 65c | 64.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Leeds United FC | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Derby County FC | 67c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Derby County FC | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Leeds United FC | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Leeds United FC | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Leeds United FC | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Leeds United FC | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Leeds United FC | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Derby County FC | 75c | 30.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Leeds United FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Derby County FC | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Derby County FC | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Derby County FC | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)this page
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.