TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c23,036$6,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,462.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over62c11,900$7,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.688962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over77c8,398$6,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.532470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c8,172$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037.622,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c2,894$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.844,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under22c2,434$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.911,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over76c1,330$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.24881.3%39 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c795.29$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.552,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Under17c753.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c650$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15615263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over68c588.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2224158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under23c504.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.513447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over76c449.04$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7717161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over67c400$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0736956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under23c361.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.384835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over75c336.25$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0615060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c312.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.611,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under23c259.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.47450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over66c225$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8219357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over67c210$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.360557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Under15c198.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308641.9%36 W · 50 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under31c192.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2718139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked Over78c186.89$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Over75c176.54$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over74c165$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.937554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over74c165$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.935157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under33c164.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.571,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3959958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3937958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over68c147.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7730059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566f…8f86backed Over75c138.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over75c133.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.43762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Over75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over74c125$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x291b…b19cbacked Over75c108.19$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.382748.1%13 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over77c105.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Over77c102$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.464637%17 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under37c101.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.241,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over66c95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.325553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2224…6f8abacked Over74c92.81$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.736259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.527354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over74c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.126158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.932255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.130554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.125456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over65c85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7526058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.132656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.128255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Over75c81.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9936758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Under18c70.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85632.1%18 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676659.1%39 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Under39c64.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under25c63.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under24c55.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.411,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over58c49.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under30c48.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.469137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Over77c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1427661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over77c38.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked Over68c35.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under36c33.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.984323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a2a…4be1backed Over65c30.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.828458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.826259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.823658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.825858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.827758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.825558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.822958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.522858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.220556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.817456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…bc89backed Over77c25.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.882437.5%9 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-43.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.