Premier League · resolved market
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee747527dec84e37e1027fa3e9e59fa3b5342f1dc7ab47da503108c2502197b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.94 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 48c | 1,940$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,488$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…88e2backed Yes | 51c | 794$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 582.75$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 53c | 399.92$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…9332backed Yes | 51c | 371$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 315.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8601…02ccbacked Yes | 51c | 288$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 258.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 54c | 184.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…4157backed Yes | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 148.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 55c | 135.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 49c | 109.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked No | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 85.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 48c | 69.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 52c | 48.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 48c | 43.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed No | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.