Premier League · resolved market
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ee439e9c367f60d0bd95b05f578988ddce5340fe9923c8cf401bd662f14d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 74c | 9,442$6,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,969.19 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 77c | 4,388$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.76 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 3,961$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,176$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 27c | 1,881$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.29 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 48c | 1,736$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 1,596$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,547$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.66 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 67c | 1,484$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.07 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 27c | 1,151$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.92 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 32c | 761.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Over | 58c | 721.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 66c | 721.17$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.79 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 69c | 694.98$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 28c | 675$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 57c | 600$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 70c | 555.13$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.68 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 51c | 389.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 248.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 48c | 247.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 27c | 210$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 209$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…5696backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 28c | 177.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 27c | 165$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 27c | 125$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 52c | 115.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 72c | 103$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 27c | 85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 27c | 85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 27c | 85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over | 30c | 82.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 69c | 79.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 29c | 79.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 36c | 78.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 32c | 77.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 73c | 76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 31c | 75.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 72c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…9764backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 53c | 52.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 42c | 47.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 31c | 45.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 27c | 44.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 27c | 39.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…7e29backed Over | 38c | 34.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c06…4321backed Under | 75c | 32.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 47c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 65c | 16.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Over | 64c | 15.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a6…2817backed Under | 71c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.