Champions League · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9eea769e04d338081b28b675e4125046bca839178985a5e6dc9405412bf52aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 62c | 1,600$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.39 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 37c | 906.57$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.43 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 785.84$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 61c | 732.03$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 573.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 552.74$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 38c | 500.19$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 40c | 443.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 275$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 84.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 61c | 82.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 61c | 76.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 58c | 61.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 63c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…80edbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…1ebabacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 60c | 28.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 40c | 28.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…ed9cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.