Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd34b421ca94238f615b1e6f39eebc28dade0b6da634eaa20715e8f83c9572d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 48c | 16,116$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,380.51 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 9,998$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 51c | 8,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 4,086$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.9 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 2,246$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.82 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 2,020$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.39 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 47c | 1,902$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,155$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,069$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 988.82$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.33 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 49c | 979.59$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 57c | 850$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 750$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 731.57$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.6 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 628$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 49c | 508.82$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 54c | 409.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 49c | 408.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed No | 48c | 399.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 31c | 387$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 284.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 53c | 277.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 262.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 242.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 49c | 197.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 53c | 146.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e0c6backed Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 53c | 114.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 53c | 99.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +69%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 72.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…48aabacked Yes | 46c | 53.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 57c | 52.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 52c | 50.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 47c | 48.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 52c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 51c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…ccc3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…7df0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 48c | 26.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.