Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea3e4f398c4ce0b3d6dc24d60c0160487af9ceb7615a0cb430bbc3a2e90fe8cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 2,316$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.68 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 24c | 1,999$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 1,978$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.92 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,906$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.88 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…8b73backed No | 79c | 631.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 76c | 528.07$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 516.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed Yes | 21c | 400$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 28c | 357.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 23c | 352$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 53c | 226.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 23c | 131.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 24c | 124.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 120.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…d189backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 76c | 98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Yes | 22c | 77.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eea…e216backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Yes | 22c | 55.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 22.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.