TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c26,011$11,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,026.4296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No42c19,962$8,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,332.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes17c13,273$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,979.6668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c11,690$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes17c10,976$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,109.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes18c6,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.997332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No5c5,530$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes70c5,233$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.9793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c3,050$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44013517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c2,707$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.572,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+118.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed No59c1,773$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf32…5159backed No70c1,732$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed No59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes20c1,653$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.42330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c1,585$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes29c1,381$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.4443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0665…4186backed Yes45c1,368$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes79c1,281$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No6c1,212$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3920033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.949440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…9f55backed Yes43c1,140$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.082466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Yes42c875$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab53…4354backed Yes18c856.5$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed No78c479.98$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No60c464.85$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes18c443.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.962941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c432.59$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes20c375$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No74c375$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.756768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No35c358.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes74c347$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.558357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes60c342$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes73c314$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1744057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes18c299.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4921445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes17c299.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.999456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes18c299.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4826046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes42c279$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.279353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes39c274.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No56c267.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0815042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked No58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes79c253.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.271741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes18c250$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.228444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No18c212$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.162934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6410757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No66c158.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d40…362bbacked Yes18c138.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed No28c133.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No15c133.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes76c131.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked No56c126.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed No36c124.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.671631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes19c120$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.29045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes43c116.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.517240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.113732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes19c110$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.12828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes18c110$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No34c109.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2136852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No56c103.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9314347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105030%15 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b6…d364backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822556%14 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf35…9a45backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes19c99.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.996264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed No60c98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes68c91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No79c90.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No12c84.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.489826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes73c84.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed No25c84.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.152556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b6…1c03backed Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No14c81.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.392250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes66c80.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.044553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes19c80$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.29240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x034e…f79dbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+133.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed No57c77.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes18c64.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1259…5c05backed Yes18c60.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed No34c59.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x483b…304abacked Yes18c58.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No47c57.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.111850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No58c56.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.062560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes67c52.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.417345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed No59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No35c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4217529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No24c49.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7416219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No55c45.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed Yes65c45.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.794100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.