Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efdcc8cbe0c1ef0fe9eb728eb3557aef673eca335acdb684f46e893a15f7f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 2,488$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 36c | 1,012$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.37 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 64c | 950$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 63c | 714.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 37c | 714.29$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.29 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 64c | 621.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed No | 25c | 533.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 65c | 407.63$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…1763backed Yes | 80c | 319.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 36c | 314.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 64c | 301.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 35c | 209.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 37c | 187.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 64c | 156.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 156.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 38c | 133.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 35c | 110.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 33c | 101.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 63c | 100.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…2dccbacked Yes | 73c | 96.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…8405backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 52.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 37c | 45.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 63c | 39.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 63c | 38.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…cf8bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 64c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…b428backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…418bbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…a41bbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…c27ebacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…a23cbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.