Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648802e8ac29948f3e97edabe785962437f542d1561279fe24c10b85b470fa7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 63c | 28,060$17,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,589.24 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 17,873$6,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,203.93 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 7,628$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 44c | 6,378$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 38c | 4,569$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.74 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 36c | 3,422$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.54 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 37c | 1,575$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.96 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 63c | 1,367$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 1,319$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.44 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 37c | 1,245$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.38 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 1,126$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.06 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 35c | 956.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.51 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 38c | 850$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 39c | 829$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 37c | 793$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.59 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 62c | 703$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.86 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Over | 50c | 702.76$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 49c | 612.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.52 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 38c | 609$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.58 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Over | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 51c | 593.8$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 566.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 37c | 504$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…c97fbacked Under | 60c | 499.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 63c | 453$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 36c | 449.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 394.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 59c | 336.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 50c | 299.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 53c | 285.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Over | 37c | 274.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Under | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 36c | 225.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 68c | 208.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Over | 43c | 175.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 37c | 169.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 38c | 162$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 159.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 44c | 150.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 73c | 144.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 143.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 70c | 134.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Over | 37c | 133.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 36c | 112.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Under | 68c | 110.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 37c | 108.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Over | 33c | 105.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 38c | 103$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…2420backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +402.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 40c | 98.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 36c | 96.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 90.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 70c | 81.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 37c | 80.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 44c | 75.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 50c | 68.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 45c | 61.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 37c | 61.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…4675backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 38c | 46.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 73c | 42.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 37c | 39.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed Under | 51c | 38.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Under | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 63c | 37.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 36c | 35.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 63c | 34.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 32.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 31.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.