Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e3e2d801359a8fe81b78d851b24f692951cf252a3f1df0b0961ab46526bc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 42c | 30,548$12,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,819.18 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 19,780$11,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.6 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 2c | 11,500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 6,032$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 5,594$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 59c | 3,223$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.64 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 60c | 2,505$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.06 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under | 1c | 1,666$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 1,188$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.12 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 881.61$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.39 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 831.85$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.85 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 42c | 789$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 42c | 636.78$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 41c | 600$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 59c | 508.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 41c | 500$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…04d6backed Over | 57c | 495$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 59c | 470$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 441.68$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 417.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Over | 57c | 404.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Under | 41c | 367.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…d337backed Under | 5c | 318.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 56c | 316.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Over | 59c | 262.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 59c | 231.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 41c | 229.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Under | 23c | 218.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 58c | 199.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 58c | 183.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 59c | 181$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Over | 59c | 179.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Over | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 59c | 173$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 18c | 156.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 23c | 145$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 55c | 121.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 57c | 120.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 42c | 101.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Under | 33c | 90.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 21c | 86.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 59c | 84.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 42c | 78.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 59c | 78.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 72.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 63c | 65.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 28c | 64.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Over | 59c | 62.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 41c | 60.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 21c | 56.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 64c | 56.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Under | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…13cabacked Over | 59c | 53.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Over | 59c | 52.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 60c | 49.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 54c | 49.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 64c | 38.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 37c | 37.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25a…f391backed Over | 58c | 37.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 58c | 33.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.