Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9ac5d5f7265b8429d3a3267de22a6e58e2798701d0f167744f6818a9d37a157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,156$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,147$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 38c | 480.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 407.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 54c | 399$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 187$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Yes | 61c | 155.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 37c | 152.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…6da6backed Yes | 63c | 78.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 47c | 72.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.