Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5b9fb18caac0f15b0c29bab5181ce0f929951233e750c39f5aeb08c1cff001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Metzof Stade Rennais FC 1901, FC Metz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 33c | 6,937$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.88 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Metz | 67c | 6,453$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed FC Metz | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Metz | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed FC Metz | 70c | 118.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked FC Metz | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed FC Metz | 67c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed FC Metz | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)this page
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.