Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x411c37fa86325c02fed384a7035c37e1ccebe76502901fddc525d376cc0cecac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Yes | 45c | 301,002$134,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,686.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 55c | 90,026$49,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,511.89 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 53,588$29,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,800.55 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 24,920$13,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,071.8 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 56c | 20,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 8,012$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.12 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 6,600$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 56c | 6,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 56c | 6,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked No | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 5,416$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.18 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 56c | 5,226$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.33 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 44c | 4,419$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 56c | 3,902$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.79 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 57c | 3,686$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 3,324$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.72 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 56c | 3,295$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.77 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 57c | 3,019$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.59 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 59c | 2,836$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 40c | 2,204$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.64 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 1,993$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.74 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.29 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 55c | 1,822$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.16 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 1,630$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 56c | 1,600$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 42c | 1,435$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed No | 56c | 1,366$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 925.95$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.16 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 900$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 900$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 56c | 900$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 834.18$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.42 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 56c | 800$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 32c | 772$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 732.41$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.92 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 56c | 720$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 68c | 704$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 56c | 700$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 672.41$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.41 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked No | 55c | 631.78$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 56c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 56c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 56c | 560$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 541.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.53 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed No | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 38c | 534.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 56c | 514.3$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 56c | 505$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 500$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 500$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 40c | 468$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 456.1$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.62 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 56c | 450$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 405.56$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 400$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…84d1backed No | 58c | 399.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Yes | 45c | 372.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 56c | 360$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 21c | 350$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 340.83$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 56c | 320$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 56c | 317.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 13c | 304.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.