TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No32c12,280$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,380.872,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c10,515$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,547.8175142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes29c8,615$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.3378248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c6,294$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.181,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No71c4,164$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.612373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1606144.3%27 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c3,144$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.7633945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes29c2,414$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c1,400$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41035856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c1,287$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.2317251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c1,148$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2422669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c1,033$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.7949143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked Yes31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes22c800$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c776.74$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.343,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No67c709.82$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8323046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked No71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2035554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No32c642.07$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.69532.6%31 W · 64 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes31c587.46$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1163645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes30c550.55$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1744749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…80f9backed Yes5c500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2770%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No23c476.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4311931.1%37 W · 82 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No71c472.95$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1619446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No70c457.96$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes27c437.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185020%10 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x930b…d91cbacked Yes26c400$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.660%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…84d1backed Yes32c400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-78.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes30c360.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2220545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No75c343.95$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.681464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed No75c339.76$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.941050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes34c323.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No37c309$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.672250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c301$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3156951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No35c260$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.28541.2%35 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes30c240$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.822829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c191$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6934342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes29c179.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524920.4%10 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504020%8 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…3ec6backed Yes33c150.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes32c138$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.162326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes29c137.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes30c136.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes29c126.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.616546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No52c115.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3416060.6%97 W · 63 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6817547.4%83 W · 92 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c99.51$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No37c96.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1811644%51 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No37c91.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.054854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes48c88.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No37c84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.925644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes29c83.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.318746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes24c82.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205215.4%8 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes29c74.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.634547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No56c74.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5119254.7%105 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No44c71.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.416055%33 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0e…e8fabacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes29c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1111540.9%47 W · 68 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010946.8%51 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No41c57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9113139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No71c56.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5117456.9%99 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5612951.2%66 W · 63 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked No37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1275…12f7backed Yes30c53.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes65c50.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed No30c50.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.211650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.755664.3%36 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes29c48.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.158858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked No50c47.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes55c46.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5938151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6e…f936backed Yes31c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.441,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c27.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1215160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc40d…4813backed No74c26.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c25.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.425855.4%143 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes70c22.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7524541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.