La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25540e0fe1fff84c3107dab87cdddacec4fafc26c51001c1b6ff2741599be6e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 7,086$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 52c | 1,640$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 1,616$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.97 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 1,295$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.58 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 72c | 694.11$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 53c | 518.87$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.87 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 59c | 426.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3f…ae42backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 46c | 255$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 53c | 233.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 46c | 214.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 45c | 196$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 53c | 173.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1032backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 72c | 138.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 53c | 119.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 39c | 117.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 53c | 115.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…ec0ebacked Yes | 72c | 90.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 84.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 54c | 84.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 66.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 53c | 53.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Yes | 53c | 50.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa961…9131backed Yes | 71c | 41.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 53c | 39.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 52c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 53c | 36.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed No | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 29.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…2b60backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…0764backed Yes | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.