La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd6e590a7ef04df5deda56aaa9c0b1f2e66a1c53dacf1f5a011cc8bbd5d3bf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 5,376$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Under | 61c | 3,764$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.91 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 7c | 2,794$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.14 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 65c | 1,724$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.4 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 47c | 1,447$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 65c | 999$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 37c | 805.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Under | 2c | 680$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 10c | 650$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 45c | 646.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.56 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 626.07$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.64 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 607.18$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.24 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 25c | 399.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 393.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 324.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 48c | 303.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 47c | 257.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 11c | 243$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 59c | 237.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 48c | 210.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 75c | 179.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 175.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 76c | 79.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 38c | 76.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Over | 24c | 64.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…ec0ebacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 24c | 58.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 42c | 57.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 47c | 57.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 40c | 46.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 44.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…4ec0backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 39.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 76c | 32.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 38c | 31.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 34c | 30.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Under | 59c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.