La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb58f5a47786920b92baa9cf27f607e26fd6ed34b028c11f1651e7cc3b599711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 66c | 4,507$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 3,083$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.58 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 42c | 1,517$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Under | 65c | 1,507$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 1,430$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.29 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Over | 67c | 707.06$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 43c | 660$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 50c | 555.55$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 36c | 555$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 524.47$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 58c | 504.09$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 45c | 412.86$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 24c | 409.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 49c | 399.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 50c | 363.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 42c | 328.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 304.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 43c | 248.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 49c | 233$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 31c | 225.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 50c | 193.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 66c | 189.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 71c | 184.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 176.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 169.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 160.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 94.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 50c | 93.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Over | 48c | 83.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…37e8backed Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 36c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 44c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 58.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Over | 35c | 57.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…30e0backed Under | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 55.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 44c | 52.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 34c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 37c | 44.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 42.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 39c | 42.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 55c | 35.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…836fbacked Under | 61c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…8755backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.