La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9071f56df47fd86dd883ef6c95f20fa29137a145e7ef96838506d3f96d0fbac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 12,127$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.78 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 58c | 2,999$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 66c | 2,358$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.06 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 2,341$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.81 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 71c | 1,652$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 67c | 1,501$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.38 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 912.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.23 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 901.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 764.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 709.35$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 707.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…f5f5backed Under | 46c | 497.79$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 67c | 282.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 58c | 275$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 256.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 28c | 210.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Under | 27c | 187.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 63c | 184$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 77c | 156.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 79c | 152.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 47c | 125.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 66c | 121.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 68c | 108.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 107.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c6a8backed Over | 75c | 79.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 61c | 64.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 40c | 54.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…b066backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Over | 59c | 48.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 60c | 47.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 60c | 47.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…b43cbacked Over | 68c | 36.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 36.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…c0a7backed Under | 40c | 34.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…18fbbacked Over | 68c | 20.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.