Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24445c3ef2f1385110984bf3929a2719c99a7d4d40cef4c82f9a864b97364a20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 70c | 7,590$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 5,914$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.99 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 3,416$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 46c | 2,491$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.3 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 2,310$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.95 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 30c | 2,292$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.7 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,769$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.15 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 3c | 1,485$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…b38abacked Yes | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked No | 45c | 654.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 70c | 646$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 69c | 554.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 487$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 52c | 458$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 70c | 378$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 31c | 319.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 246.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Yes | 52c | 240.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 30c | 217.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 70c | 216.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 48c | 207.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 206.54$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 205$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 30c | 196.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 67c | 190.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…accfbacked Yes | 51c | 190.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 180.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Yes | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 70c | 115.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked No | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…8561backed Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…e434backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 91.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 73.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 68.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 64c | 62.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 59c | 55.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…641ebacked Yes | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 31c | 47.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 30c | 43.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 50c | 40.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 30c | 39.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 53c | 38.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 50c | 36.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 47c | 31.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 50c | 26.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…a901backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…a317backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed No | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed No | 70c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.