Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5745b57520f9dd2cf75a2c5cbcf20e3406fb3e6f1ac11c8a37bcddc7537fb2fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 19c | 26,417$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,303.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 16,232$12,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,312.89 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 41c | 9,051$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.93 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 2,745$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.82 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 2,098$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.17 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 41c | 2,075$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.53 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 2,027$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.53 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,689$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 11c | 1,636$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked No | 2c | 1,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,497$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.1 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 1,490$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.32 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 980.4$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.75 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 42c | 818$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…ec67backed Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…324dbacked No | 59c | 790$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 60c | 770$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…0c44backed Yes | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…7a62backed No | 59c | 740$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…787cbacked No | 59c | 740$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…772ebacked Yes | 42c | 720$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 33c | 695.64$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 59c | 650$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 59c | 643.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.51 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…481bbacked No | 60c | 366.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…8694backed Yes | 41c | 365.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 321$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked No | 29c | 306.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 33c | 273.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 28c | 252.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 58c | 219.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 187.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 181.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 28c | 149.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 17c | 145.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 42c | 144.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 27c | 108.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 15c | 99.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 76c | 95.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 54c | 95.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…af4abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 85.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…98babacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +329.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 31c | 69.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed No | 53c | 55.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -69%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 42c | 41.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Yes | 41c | 41.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 31.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…7437backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked No | 47c | 24.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 23.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e01…8f49backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.